Probability that A speaks truth is 4/5. A coin is tossed. A reports that a head appears. The probability that actually there was head is


Given: let E1 be the event that A speaks truth, E2 be the event that A lies and X be the event that it appears head.

Therefore,


As E1 and E2 are the events which are complimentary to each other.


Then P (E1) + P (E2) = 1


P (E2) = 1 - P (E1)


P (E2)


If a coin is tossed it may show head or tail.


Hence the probability of getting head is 1/2 whether A speaks a truth or A lies.


P(X|E1) = P(X|E2) = 1/2


Now the probability that actually there was head, give that A speaks a truth is P(E1|X).


By using bayes’ theorem, we have:






Therefore correct answer is (A).

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