A car manufacturing factory has two plants X and Y. Plant X manufactures 70% of the cars, and plant Y manufactures 30%. At pant X, 80% of the cars are rated of standard quality, and at plant Y, 90% are rated of standard quality. A car is picked up at random and is found to be of standard quality. A car is picked up at random and is found to be of standard quality. Find the probability that it has come from plant X.

Let X : Car produced from plant X


Y : Car produced from plant Y


S : Car rated as standard quality


We want to find P(X|S), i.e. selected standard quality car is from plant X





Conclusion: Therefore, the probability of selected standard quality car is from plant X is


1