A bag contains (2n + 1) coins. It is known that n of these coins have a head on both sides whereas the rest of the coins are fair. A coin is picked up at random from the bag and is tossed. If the probability that the toss results in a head is 31|42, determine the value of n.

Given: n coins have head on both the sides

and (n + 1) coins are fair coins


Total coins = 2n + 1


Let events E1, E2 be the following:


E1 = Event that an unfair coin is selected


E2 = Event that a fair coin is selected



The Law of Total Probability:


In a sample space S, let E1,E2,E3…….En be n mutually exclusive and exhaustive events associated with a random experiment. If A is any event which occurs with E1,E2,E3…….En, then


P(A) = P(E1)P(A/E1)+ P(E2)P(A/E2)+ …… P(En)P(A/En)


Let “E” be the event that the toss result is a head


P(E|E1) is the probability of getting a head when unfair coin is tossed


P(E|E2) is the probability of getting a head when fair coin is tossed


So,


From the law of total probability,


P(E) = P(E1) × P(E|E1) + P(E2) × P(E|E2)


(Given)



31 × 2(2n+1) = 42 × (3n + 1)


124n + 62 = 126n + 42


2n = 20


n = 10


Hence, the value of n is 10.


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